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Rosetta finds comet's water vapour to be significantly different from Earth's (esa.int)
234 points by twowo on Dec 10, 2014 | hide | past | favorite | 53 comments


The two comments submitted previously as I type this explain why the article title on HN is as it is. I was puzzled by what the title MEANT, so I looked into the article, and what the article says farther down is "Previous measurements of the deuterium/hydrogen (D/H) ratio in other comets have shown a wide range of values. Of the 11 comets for which measurements have been made, it is only the Jupiter-family Comet 103P/Hartley 2 that was found to match the composition of Earth’s water, in observations made by ESA’s Herschel mission in 2011." When I first read the headline, I wasn't sure if the claim was that the water vapor had mixtures of other chemical molecules in it, or what.

Okay, a different isotope ratio in water from a comet as contrasted with water generally found on earth would indeed be a clue to how water might have traveled from one orbiting body to another early in the development of the solar system. This kind of isotype checking (for isotopes of other elements) is one of the things done to confirm that rocks found on earth are presumptively from other parts of the solar system.


The important thing to remember is that we're dealing with very sparse sampling of a large population of comets that are the survivors of the early solar system. So while this result lowers the plausibility of the proposition "Earth's water came from early cometary impacts" only a liar or a "science journalist" (but I repeat myself) would claim something completely and utterly false, like, "Scientists prove Earth's water not from comets!" Yet that is a headline I've actually seen on these results.

It's an interesting finding, but Jovian comets are one population of survivors. We have a lot more data to gather to fill out the most plausible picture of the early solar system and the likely source of terrestrial water.


I'm surprised that scientists believe water was delivered. Why wouldn't water be one of the by products of the big-bang and during Earth's creation?


>>> Why wouldn't water be one of the by products of the big-bang

To address the first part of your question – The Big Bang (which happened 13.8 billion years ago) created ~only hydrogen and helium. So, no water existed in the early Universe (a) because there were no oxygen atoms formed in the Big Bang and (b) the early Universe was too hot to form water molecules even if oxygen was present.

>>> during Earth's creation?

Whether water was present on the Earth from "day one" of its formation (~5 billion years ago, much later than the Big Bang) is still an open question, but part of why it might be unlikely is that the Earth is close enough to the Sun that it was too hot for water to stay as ice or liquid on Earth's surface (before Earth's atmosphere formed). Water that forms in comets (further away from the Sun) doesn't have that problem, as comets would be in colder parts of the early Solar System.


So what happened between the Big Bang and Earth formation? For some reason I always thought they were one and the same.



The Big Bang was the formation of the entire universe. About ten billion years later, our solar system, and eventually the Earth, started forming due to gravity pulling various bits of matter together. Ten billion years is a really, really long time! The two events are completely separate.

If you're interested in cosmology, there are a ton of fascinating popular science books on the topic, and research is very active and ongoing. As an introduction, I recommend Cosmos by Carl Sagan. It's a bit outdated these days, but the main points hold and it's a fascinating read from start to finish. Alternatively, if you prefer video, check out Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey with Neil deGrasse Tyson. It's an up-to-date retelling of Sagan's original idea.


Come on downvoters, it's a naive question, but not the sort of thing that needs to be punished...


Two generations of stars, including heavy stars that produced all the elements up to iron (including, relevant to this particular case, oxygen), and then became supernovae, which a) produced traces of heavier elements b) blew a lot of stellar material out into the universe, to become part of new star systems. So there was oxygen around by the time Earth was formed (~4.5 billion years ago, as opposed to ~14 billion for the big bang).


CRC's GED prep book used to contain this error. Most of the book was good but the "Earth Science" section looked like it had been deliberately mangled in order to discredit opponents of creationism. Or that was my theory, anyway, it was pretty bad.


If you want to learn more, this is a valuable resource: https://www.bighistoryproject.com/ .


The Cosmos series (either the old Sagan one or the new Neil DeGrasse Tyson one which is on Netflix) covers this in a very nice format.


But even if it ws too hot for liquid water the gravity of forming Earth would keep it as gas just as well as if it was liquid?


Wasn't our sun a product of a bigger star? Which is why we have the planets now.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supernova_nucleosynthesis.

Nucleosynthesis says that at the end of the life of a star, heavier elemnts are formed as a byproduct.


Nucleosynthesis gets you the heavier elements, but doesn't get around the "too hot to hold water" problem in Earth's early history.


Yes, the heavy elements in our Solar System were formed inside previous generations of stars.


> Why wouldn't water be one of the by products of the big-bang

There weren't any Oxygen atoms around until long after the big bang, and only a handful (in cosmic terms) of non-Hydrogen atoms.[1]

H2O molecules couldn't form until Oxygen had been synthesized, which occurs when a star exhausts its Hydrogen and begins fusing its Helium[2]. So water probably didn't exist until well into the the first or second generation of stars.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Bang_nucleosynthesis

[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stellar_nucleosynthesis


Paragraph 3

> One of the leading hypotheses on Earth’s formation is that it was so hot when it formed 4.6 billion years ago that any original water content should have boiled off. But, today, two thirds of the surface is covered in water, so where did it come from?


'boiling off' seems like a bit of an oversimplifiction - yes, intuitively, hot water vapor rises - when it's surrounded by cooler denser gases. So I get that if you have a cloud of various atoms and molecules orbiting a sun that is accreting together under gravity, the iron is going to end up at the core of the body that forms, and the light stuff like H2O is going to be a big fuzzy cloud round the outside; but it's not going to 'evaporate' off somewhere else, surely? If the Earth's hot, you wind up with a ball of molten iron, surrounded by a cloud of water vapor (and O2, and N2, and so on). Once the Earth cools, that vapor seems like a good source for liquid water, no need to bring it back from the Oort cloud in comet form. Unless 'boiling off' the water means that it disappears from Earth's orbit altogether... Is the idea that it gets blown out into the outer solar system by the solar wind, or just that the sun gives that cloud of water vapor so much energy that it's able to diffuse out of Earth orbit? Doesn't the same logic apply to the other lighter substances like oxygen, nitrogen, methane... so did they come back from comets too?


>>> yes, intuitively, hot water vapor rises

Temperature is just an expression of mean kinetic energy of particles. If gases (especially light gases) are hot enough, their kinetic energy can correspond to a velocity that actually exceeds the escape velocity of Earth's gravitational well. This is how hot gases can be removed completely from the Earth's atmosphere (and then solar wind & radiation take care of removing it from there). Even at today's atmospheric temperatures, helium gas (molecular weight of 4 atomic mass units, much lighter than molecular oxygen, nitrogen, etc.) can escape from Earth's atmosphere.


Right, that was my thinking; so does the same not apply to nitrogen, and methane (which I think both have lower molecular mass than water)?

(EDIT: actually, on second thought, N2 would have a higher molar weight than H2O...)


Yes on your edit. The origin of Earth's atmospheric nitrogen is thought to be in part due to outgassing (in other words, gas that was stored inside rocks in the early Earth and then released from inside), but is highly uncertain & debated. It's actually so poorly constrained that it may end up being my PhD thesis topic (astrophysics and origins of planetary systems). So not even the experts know, yet, although cometary delivery in cyanide ices from comets is a leading hypothesis (similar to the delivery of water ices).


Was digging around and found some good info, looks like tomr already answered the Nitrogen part of the question, which is the same info I found.

As far as methane, it seems to all mostly be biogenic[1].

[1] - http://www.astrobio.net/news-exclusive/methane-on-earth/


Solar radiation splits water into hydrogen and oxygen at high altitudes. The hydrogen is then light enough to escape, driven by more solar radiation.


Although that explanation makes intuitive sense, it seems to be based on a massive overestimation of the amount of H2O that currently exists on Earth. A thin layer of water covering two thirds of the surface is not much compared to the entire mass of the Earth.

Isn't it possible that early Earth contained many times as much H2O as it does now (like some of those Jovian satellites that are covered in hundreds of miles of ice), and what we have now is simply what's left after the majority "boiled off"? That way, there would be no need for comets and asteroids to return the lost water to Earth.

Other comments in this thread mention vast amounts of water trapped deep inside the Earth, as well as outgassing of nitrogen after the Earth has cooled down. Perhaps the water near the surface of the early Earth did "boil off" entirely, but what we have now is the result of subsequent outgassing?


Very much what I was going to suggest, as well. But I think that would mean the Earth formed in the outer solar system and migrated inward later. Not sure if there is any evidence compatible with or contradicting that.



Panspermia has nothing to with where the water came from.


http://www.nature.com/news/dna-has-a-521-year-half-life-1.11...

DNA has a 'half-life' of ~500 years. Panspermania may still be a viable theory, but it is very restricted in terms of stellar distance/time in transit.


That's at (or near) STP, though.


Very true, but getting this data in a vacuum and in a stellar radiation environment is tough. Who knows what the preserving effects of space are like to DNA. However, one data point is better than none.


What's STP?


Probably "Standard Temperature and Pressure":

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_conditions_for_tempera...


I didn't realize the standing theory is that Earth's water was delivered by lots of meteor strikes.

Has there ever been an estimate made of the number of strikes needed to deliver the volume of water currently on Earth? I have to think it's enormous.


The amount of (surface) water on earth may not be as much as you would intuitively think, given that it covers 70% of the surface area.

have a look at the image in this link:

http://water.usgs.gov/edu/earthhowmuch.html


What about the water in the earth's core?

>>A reservoir of water three times the volume of all the oceans has been discovered deep beneath the Earth's surface. The finding could help explain where Earth's seas came from.

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn25723-massive-ocean-di...


My wife looks at carbon in the deep earth, but water is a very related chemical in these cases. She says that the amount of water in the core is indeterminable at this time, but it is likely a lot more than a mere 3x the ocean volume (also, volume depends on pressure and temp, which are extreme in the core)

Note: at extreme temps and pressures in the core, water as we know it is not a good guidepost. It may be crystallized or associating strongly with other exotic crystals and 'plastic'-y compounds at the Moho layer and other transition zones deep down. Also, just counting O and H elements is likely to not get you far there either. The story of how we got our oceans is FAR from complete. I'd wager we are in the 2nd page of the prologue though, which, for 60 years of real work, is pretty good compared to most fields.


Current theory is that much/most of the early water ended up excaping back into space. Further, there is an extremely large range of meteor sizes making such estimates almost meaningless. https://what-if.xkcd.com/83/


It doesn't appear to be a result for which the landing was necessary? Also it seems it was something already achieved before ("measuring D/H"). The text mentions that the D/H ratio was already measured in 11 comets, I believe by just flying through their "tail" (1)?

1) http://adsabs.harvard.edu/full/1987A%26A...187..435E

How was it done this time?


They mention that water already on earth would have boiled off in its youth. I don't understand this, wouldn't the vapor stay around the planet, then return to liquid when the planet cooled?

Or else, what would have attracted the water away from the earth's atmosphere? And if so, why wouldn't it have attracted away the azote and oxygen and all of the atmosphere at the same time? Or was there not yet an atmosphere?


Simulations do not like this scenario. The gravity is not enough to counter the expansion due to the heat, so the water (vapour) leaks off far and wide with little chance of coalescing in the inner solar system.


Yeah, that doesn't make sense. Venus is a good deal smaller and was able to hold a dense atmosphere, so Earth should be even more able to hold water vapor. Probably lost most bare hydrogen though.


I think it is pretty obvious D/H would be higher for a comet that has been out a long time and that doesn't really tell us much about if Earth's water came from comets a long time ago since those crashed early. H is a lot lighter than D, so it is a lot easier for a body to lose it, especially if the body has no magnetic field like a comet or Venus (D/H is also very high on Venus). Thinking the ratios would be the same seems like a mistake. Their graph should really compare the values normalized for loss rates and time since solar system formation.


This one puzzles me:

"One of the leading hypotheses on Earth’s formation is that it was so hot when it formed 4.6 billion years ago that any original water content should have boiled off. "

So where would it actually have boil to? I thought gravity affected water also in gas state. Just like the atmosphere doesn't "boil off", why would the water?


Actually, some fractions of the atmosphere do "boil off":

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_escape

Essentially, because the distribution of thermal energy has a fairly long tail, it is possible for some lighter particles to reach escape velocity. The hotter the atmosphere, the more (and heavier) particles escape.


(For future readers, see dang's comment on how he changed the title from "Rosetta first results: ocean water not from comets")[1])

I don't know why you changed the title to something claiming a stronger result than their title: "ROSETTA FUELS DEBATE ON ORIGIN OF EARTH’S OCEANS". I'm not a planetary guy, but I think while the evidence is moving that way, the claim in your title is definitely premature.

Here's a distillation of their results (from their post) that seems far more in line with their claims than your title:

>“Our finding also rules out the idea that Jupiter-family comets contain solely Earth ocean-like water, and adds weight to models that place more emphasis on asteroids as the main delivery mechanism for Earth’s oceans.”

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8731304


I'm eager to see New Horizons arriving at Pluto, to see whatever water it finds.


Here's a distillation of their results

I see what you did there. :)


The submitted title was "Rosetta first results: ocean water not from comets". Since the article's own title is not very informative, we changed it to the first sentence, which is. We also changed the url from http://blogs.esa.int/rosetta/2014/12/10/rosetta-fuels-debate..., which points to this.


It would be great if edits like this could be displayed at the top of the thread rather than as the bottom-most comment.


I understand why you'd say that, but the cure would be much worse than the disease—the top subthreads would all be about the edits and editing practices.


It wouldn't have to be a replyable subthread, just a note somewhere are the top of the page.


Right. We don't have a very large sample size currently, so it's a bit premature for definitive statements such as "earthly water not from comets".

All we know is that this comet shows a different fraction of deuterium, compared to Earth, and some other comets we've checked are all different. So the jury is still out. We need more data, lots more.




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