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I was trying to be patient, hoping this entire thing would collapse sooner rather than later - but now I think I'm just going to start planning my exit from this industry forever.




Nah, believe me, the next few years are going to be very, but very interesting. We are building megatons of technical debt. On the application side, people who have no idea of how all of this works down the hood are using LLMs for things that any chimp could do with deterministic code, and even when they use it for what it is really good at, that is, dealing with natural language and other unstructured input, nobody really has the discipline to have extensive validation suits, guardrails and quality gates.

The simplicity of just plugging a few lines of code in a framework or a workflow engine means the barrier of entry is really, really low, what guarantees that we will have thousands of business process running through those duct taped agents in almost every kind of industry you can imagine.

Mountains of code nobody understand, even more Byzantine post-training to shoehorn more complex tool-usage into the models.

Compliance issues galore. Security incidents by the ton.

The future is going to be very, very interesting pretty soon. Why would you leave your front-row seat right now?

I would instead invest some good time and money in buying and learning to play a modern replica of a greek Kithara.


> I would instead invest some good time and money in buying and learning to play a modern replica of a greek Kithara.

How would you go about doing that?


You can find several luthiers able to build it for a probably outrageous price.

Even if you do exit, all the software around you will steadily get worse and worse. Software engineering is already really bad, especially for consumer products, and all this vibe agent crud is only going to accelerate the badness.

Why would it collapse?



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