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In areas where cities are dense enough for public transportaiton to make sense, adding a new line does indeed lead to induced demand. For cities that are spread out and unwalkable (read: almost all US cities), public transit isn't efficient enough to move enough people from point A to B, due to A and B being very far away -- never mind the fact that once you get to B, you can't even walk to many destinations due to the city being designed in such a sprawly, pedestrian hostile way.

For public transportation to work, we first need to make our cities denser. The best way of doing this is by outlawing use-based zoning and moving to form-based zoning. That means getting rid of the concept of a "single family zone" and a "commercial zone", etc. and just specifying stuff about the materials and shapes of buildings. It also means outlawing parking minimums. Many cities around the world (and even a few in the US, re: Philadelphia, NYC) have this kind of zoning which allows for much denser development.



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